Saturday, April 12, 2025

Luxor’s Aaron Foster on Bitcoin Mining’s Growing Sophistication

Luxor Technology wants to make bitcoin mining easier. That’s why the firm has rolled out a panoply of products (mining pools, hashrate derivatives, data analytics, ASIC brokerage) to help bitcoin miners, large and small, develop their operations.

Aaron Forster, the company’s director of business development, joined in October 2021, and has seen the team grow from roughly 15 to 85 people in the span of three and a half years.

Forster worked a decade in the Canadian energy sector before coming to bitcoin mining, which is one of the reasons why he’ll be speaking about the future of mining in Canada and the U.S. at the BTC & Mining Summit at Consensus this year. Follow full coverage of Consensus 2025 in Toronto May 14-16.

In the leadup to the event, Forster shared with CoinDesk his thoughts on bitcoin miners turning to artificial intelligence, the growing sophistication of the mining industry, and how Luxor’s products enable miners to hedge various forms of risk.

This interview has been condensed and edited for clarity.

CoinDesk: Mining pools allow miners to combine their computational resources to have higher chances of receiving bitcoin block rewards. Can you explain to us how Luxor’s mining pools work?

Aaron Forster: Mining pools are basically aggregators that reduce the variance of solo mining. When you look at solo mining, it's very lottery-esque, meaning that you could be plugging your machines in and you might hit block rewards tomorrow — or you might hit it 100 years from now. But you're still paying for energy during that time. At a small scale, it’s not a big deal, as you scale that up and create a business around it.

The most common kind of mining pool is PPLNS, which means Pay-Per-Last-N-Shares. Basically, that means the miner does not get paid unless that mining pool hits the block. That's also due to luck variance, so it’s no different from that solo miner’s situation. However, that creates revenue volatility for those large industrial miners.

So we’re seeing the emergence of what we call Full-Pay-Per-Share, or FPPS, and that's Luxor is operating for our bitcoin pool. With FPPS, regardless of whether we find a block or not, we're still paying our miners their revenue based on the number of shares they've submitted to the pool. That gives revenue certainty to miners, assuming hashprice stays the same. We've effectively become an insurance provider.

The problem is that you need a very deep and strong balance sheet to support that model, because while we've reduced the variance for miners, that risk is now put on us. So we need to plan for that. But it can be calculated over a long enough period of time. We have different partners in that regard, so that we don't bear the full risk from our balance sheet.

Tell me about your ASIC brokerage business.

We’ve become one of the leading hardware suppliers on the secondary market. Primarily within North America, but we've shipped to 35+ countries. We deal with everybody from public companies to private companies, institutions to retail.

We're primarily a broker, meaning we match buyer and seller, mostly on the secondary market. Sometimes we do interact with ASIC manufacturers, and in certain cases we do take principal positions, meaning we use money from our balance sheet to purchase ASICs and then resell them on the secondary market. But the majority of our volume comes from matching buyers and sellers.

Luxor also launched the first hashrate futures contracts.

We’re trying to push the Bitcoin mining space forward. We’re a hashrate marketplace, depending on how you look at our mining pools, and we wanted to take a big leap and take hashrate to the TradFi world.

We wanted to create a tool that allows investors to take a position on hashprice without effectively owning mining equipment. Hashprice is, you know, the hourly or daily revenue that miners get, and that fluctuates a lot. For some people it’s about hedging, for others it’s speculation. We’re creating a tool for miners to sell their hashrate forward and use it as a basic collateral or a way to finance growth.

We said, ‘Let's allow miners to basically sell forward hashrate, receive bitcoin upfront, and then they can take that and do whatever they need to do with it, whether it's purchase ASICs or expand their mining operations.’ It’s basically the collateralization of hashrate. So they're obligated to send us X amount of hashrate per month for the length of the contract. Before that, they'll receive a certain amount of bitcoin upfront.

There’s a market imbalance between buyers and sellers. We have a lot of buyers, meaning people and institutions wanting to earn yield on their bitcoin. What you’re lending your bitcoin at is effectively your interest rate. However, you could also look at it like you're purchasing that hashrate at a discount. That's important for institutions or folks that don't want physical exposure to bitcoin mining, but want exposure to hash price or hashrate. They can do that synthetically through purchasing bitcoin and putting it into our market, effectively lending that out, earning a yield, and purchasing that hashrate at a discount.

What do you find most exciting about bitcoin mining at the moment?

The acceptance and natural progression of our industry into other markets. We can't ignore the AI HPC transition. Instead of building these mega mines that are just massive buildings with power-dense bitcoin mining operations, you're starting to see large miners turning into power infrastructure providers for artificial intelligence.

Using bitcoin mining as a stepping stone to a larger, more capital intensive industry like AI is exciting to me, because it kind of gives us a bit more acceptance, because we’re coming at it from a completely different angle. I think the biggest example is the Core Scientific / CoreWeave deal structure, how they've kind of merged those two businesses together. They're complimentary to each other. And that's really exciting.

When you look at our own product roadmap, we have no choice but to follow a similar roadmap to bitcoin miners. A lot of the products that we built for the mining industry are analogous to what is needed at a different level for AI. Mind you, it's a lot simpler in our industry than in AI. We’re our first step into the HPC space, and it’s still very early days there.



source https://www.coindesk.com/business/2025/04/03/luxor-s-aaron-foster-on-bitcoin-mining-s-growing-sophistication

Crypto’s Biggest Barrier to Adoption? It’s Not Regulation — It’s UX

As the crypto industry matures, much of the focus remains on regulation, custody, and scalability. But in 2025, the biggest barrier to adoption isn’t policy — it’s user experience. Crypto’s interfaces are still too complex for everyday users. From managing seed phrases to deciphering blockchain transactions, onboarding feels more like navigating a maze than joining a financial revolution. Wallets remain fragmented, unintuitive, and risky.

To reach mainstream adoption, the industry must prioritize usability — making wallets and financial tools more accessible — without compromising the core principles of decentralization. Until then, poor UX will continue to hold crypto back.

Vitalik Buterin’s Call for Account Abstraction

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has been one of the most vocal proponents for improving the usability of crypto wallets. His critique centers on the fact that wallets are designed with developers, not end-users, in mind. While technical innovations in blockchain security are advancing, wallets often remain rooted in outdated models that prioritize control over ease of use, leaving the average user overwhelmed and vulnerable to mistakes.

Buterin’s proposed solution (EIP-7702), account abstraction, is a breakthrough concept that could reshape how we interact with crypto assets. Account abstraction allows smart contract functionality to be applied to externally owned accounts (EOAs), the most common type of wallet used in crypto. This would enable more intuitive and flexible security mechanisms, such as social recovery, multi-signature support, and customizable authentication methods, without compromising decentralization or self-custody.

At its core, account abstraction decouples the traditional reliance on a single private key for securing assets, creating the potential for much more user-friendly experiences. Rather than expecting users to memorize long and complex seed phrases or manage multi-step transactions, account abstraction can allow for recovery options, automatic transaction approvals, and even the option to delegate certain actions to trusted contacts — without ever losing ownership of the private keys.

A Call for Human-Centered Design in Crypto

Crypto’s UX problem isn’t just about cleaner interfaces — it’s about rethinking design to prioritize human needs. Historically, tools have been built for power users comfortable with seed phrases and command-line interfaces. But for mass adoption, crypto must serve people who’ve never held a private key.

This is where human-centered design becomes essential. Developers must build wallets and tools that are intuitive, context-aware, and focused on user safety. The shift must move from catering to the technically inclined to empowering everyday users who are new to crypto. To succeed, wallets need to embrace the following core design principles:

Smart Defaults and Progressive Onboarding: Users should not need to dive into settings or security configurations to get started. Newcomers should be able to start using a wallet with minimal friction, but with built-in guidance and the option to unlock more advanced features as they become more familiar with the space. By providing clear default security settings — such as social recovery options and automatic transaction limits — wallets can offer both ease of use and security from the outset.

Clear, Intuitive Signing Processes: Transaction signing should be straightforward, with clear explanations of what users are agreeing to. If a user is about to approve a transaction that could drain their wallet, this should be prominently displayed in plain language, not buried under hexadecimal codes or complex jargon. Reducing ambiguity in these interactions will help mitigate the risks of scams and human error.

Social and Multi-party Recovery Systems: Relying solely on seed phrases as a recovery method is an outdated and risky practice. Instead, wallets should adopt social recovery systems, where users can designate trusted parties to help restore access to their wallet in case of lost keys. This approach not only makes wallets more resilient but also adds a layer of user trust and security.

Built-In Education and Contextual Help: To truly empower users, crypto wallets need to include educational tools directly within the interface. Contextual prompts, tooltips, and interactive tutorials can help users understand the significance of each action they take, without overwhelming them with dense technical documentation.

Automation with Control: Features like auto-payment for transaction fees or the ability to batch transactions can make using crypto wallets much more intuitive, especially for newcomers. But these features must be balanced with user control. Users should have the final say over transactions, but automation can help reduce some of the cognitive load that crypto novices experience.

The Future of Crypto Is Usability and Security—Without Compromise

As crypto moves forward, the real challenge will be to reconcile usability with the core tenets of decentralization and security. Innovations like account abstraction are promising, but the industry must continue to prioritize human-centered design. The goal should be to design tools that make crypto accessible, secure, and simple — without sacrificing self-custody or decentralization.

The future of crypto will not be determined by how fast blockchains can scale or how complex DeFi protocols can get; it will be defined by whether the average person can use crypto with confidence. Until then, crypto will remain an exclusive tool for developers and enthusiasts, rather than a technology that empowers the masses.

The question is simple: Can crypto be both intuitive and secure, or will it continue to be a space designed only for the technically proficient? The answer will determine whether crypto achieves its promise of financial freedom for all.



source https://www.coindesk.com/opinion/2025/04/12/crypto-s-biggest-barrier-to-adoption-it-s-not-regulation-it-s-ux

Where Top VCs Think Crypto x AI Is Headed Next

The proliferation of mainstream artificial intelligence (AI) tools in the last couple of years has stirred the crypto and blockchain industry to explore decentralized alternatives to Big Tech products.

The synergy between AI and blockchain is built on addressing the risk of centralized ownership and access to data that powers AI. The theory goes that decentralization can mitigate against the entire AI economy being powered by the data owned by a few tech behemoths like Alphabet (GOOG), Amazon (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), Alibaba (9988) and Tencent (0700).

It is unclear as yet whether or not this will prove to be a significant problem at all, much less whether the blockchain industry will be able to solve it. What is clear, however, is that crypto venture capitalists (VCs) are willing to spend millions of dollars finding out. Decentralized AI has thus far attracted $917 million in VC and private equity money, according to startup deal platform Tracxn.

The question remains whether the trend of investing in blockchain-based AI is still built on hype or has now transcended to being the real deal.

Blockchain investment company Theta Capital described AI x crypto as "the inevitable backbone of AI," in a recent "Satellite View" report, which explored insights and outlooks from the sector's prominent investors.

AI agents

"No trend stands out more than the intersection of AI and crypto," the report said, using the examples of AI agents trading on blockchains and even launching tokens.

This may appear to be a more sophisticated form of speculation for degens, but Theta argues it's a route to tackling some of AI's problems that only crypto can solve.

"Crypto wallets enable the participation of autonomous agents in financial markets," according to the report. "Decentralized token networks are bootstrapping the supply side of key AI infrastructure for compute, data and energy."

The report's conclusion is far from being hype and speculation; AI x crypto is "the new meta." Meta is short for "metagame," a term borrowed from gaming referring to the dominant way of playing with regard to characters, strategies or moves based on the competitive landscape.

Decentralized AI

Alex Pack, managing partner of blockchain venture capital firm Hack VC, described Web3 AI as "the biggest source of alpha in investing today," in the "Satellite View" report.

Hack VC has dedicated 41% of its latest fund to Web3 AI, according to the report, in which it sees the main challenge as building a decentralized alternative to the AI economy.

"AI's rapid evolution is creating massive efficiencies, but also increasing centralization," Pack said.

"The intersection of crypto and AI is by far the biggest investment opportunity in the space, offering an open, decentralized alternative."

One of Hack VC's most prominent portfolio companies is Grass, which encourages users to participate in AI networks by offering up their unused internet bandwidth in return for tokens.

This is designed as an alternative to large firms installing software code into apps in order to scrape their users' data.

"Users unwittingly donate their bandwidth without compensation," Grass founder Andrej Radonjic said in Theta's report.

"Grass provides an alternative [by] forming a massive opt-in, peer-to-peer network able to produce high-quality data at the scale of Google and Microsoft."

The dreaded AI "takeover"

Decentralized AI presents risks for investors, Theta concedes. It could lead to the proliferation of all the least desirable facets of the internet as it already exists: putrid online discourse, spam emails or vapid social media content in the form of blogs, videos or memes. In the crypto world, an example of this may be the creation of meme tokens. The questionable endorsements, the wash trading and the pump and dumps can all be handled by AI engines even more efficiently than humans.

Some VCs see blockchain as the basis for mitigation. Olaf Carlson-Wee, CEO and founder of Polychain, provided the examples of proof-of-humanity mechanisms to verify that users are human and disincentivizing spam through micropayments or spam.

"If sending an email costs $0.01, it would destroy the economics of spam while remaining affordable for average users," he said in the report.

With blockchain possibly providing some of these safeguards, Carlson-Wee believes AI will underpin digital and financial systems, as they could outperform humans in markets. This reality, he claims, would be gladly accepted, as opposed to dreaded as some sort of bleak dystopia.

"Over time, AI systems will evolve into long-term capital allocators, predicting trends and opportunities years into the future, [which] humans will entrust their funds to, because of the superior ability to make data-driven decisions," Carlson-Wee said.

"The AI takeover won't be a war we lose - it will be a suggestion we agree to," he concluded.



source https://www.coindesk.com/business/2025/04/12/where-top-vcs-think-crypto-x-ai-is-headed-next

Gold and Bonds' Safe Haven Allure May be Fading With Bitcoin Emergence

The idea of "safe haven" assets—traditionally marked by gold and government bonds—amid market turmoil, is being tested like never before.

For decades, portfolio construction and risk management were simple: 60% equities, 40% bonds and when markets panicked, capital typically flowed into gold and government bonds. These assets were slow, steady, and predictable, making them an ideal safe haven for investors looking for protection against volatility. But in today’s world of 24/7 markets, geopolitical instability, and rising distrust in sovereign systems, have turned that logic on its head, asking the question: does the definition of a safe haven need a refresh?

Enter the new kid in the block: bitcoin.

It is highly volatile, widely misunderstood, and often dismissed as a speculative asset by many corners of Wall Street and Main Street. Yet, it has staged an extraordinary run since the COVID-19 market lows.

It’s up over 1,000% since the COVID-19 market crash in March 2020. During that same period, long-duration bonds—measured via iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)—are down 50% from their 2020 highs. Even gold, the true and tried safe haven asset—up 90% over five years—looks less impressive when adjusted for monetary debasement, which saw, in 2020 alone, over 40% of the total USD money supply being printed.

Still, bitcoin’s safe haven credential remains contested by investors.

In several recent risk-off events, it acted less like a hedge and more like a high-beta risk asset against the Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 ETF.

Covid-19 (March 2020): BTC fell 40% vs QQQ’s 27%

Bank crisis (March 2023): BTC -14%, QQQ -7%

Yen carry trade unwind (Aug 2024): BTC -20%, QQQ -6%

Tariff-led selloff (April 2025): BTC -11%, QQQ -16%

The first three examples show bitcoin as a kind of leveraged tech trade. But the most recent tariff shock broke the pattern — bitcoin dropped less than the Nasdaq, showing relative strength in an otherwise weak macro environment spurred by President Trump’s tariffs.

While these data points may not make a trend, this evolving behavior highlights a broader phenomenon: the global financial backdrop has changed.

“Non-sovereign stores of value, like bitcoin, should do well," said NYDIG Research in a note. "Politically neutral assets should be exempt from the global machinations at play right now.”

Bitcoin is volatile, yes, but it is also globally liquid, decentralized, censorship-resistant, and immune to tariffs or central bank policy. In an era of geopolitical tension and financial repression, those attributes start to make the asset look more enduring than other safe havens.

Meanwhile, traditional safe havens aren’t looking so safe. Gold’s gains look less impressive when weighed against the scale of monetary expansion. Long-duration bonds aren't faring much better either as the 30-year treasury yield approaches 5%, making them painful for duration-heavy portfolios.

Since the sell-off began last Thursday, the Nasdaq has dropped nearly 10%, bitcoin is down 6%, TLT has fallen over 4%, and gold has slipped more than 3%. Meanwhile, the DXY index — which tracks the U.S. dollar against a basket of foreign currencies — remains relatively flat, while the all-important U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has surged nearly 8%.

On a risk-adjusted basis, bitcoin is holding its ground—performing no worse than traditional safe-haven assets like gold or TLT.

Looking at these four major crisis events, a pattern emerges: : each sell-off in bitcoin has marked a significant long-term bottom. During the COVID crash, BTC dropped to ~$4,000 — a level never seen again. In the March 2023 banking crisis, it briefly fell below $20,000 before resuming its climb. The August 2024 yen carry trade unwind brought it down to $49,000 — again, a level that hasn’t returned. If history is any guide, wherever this current low takes us, it may well establish the next long-term floor.

So, is Bitcoin a safe haven?

If the old framing — low volatility and downside protection during a panic — still holds, then BTC falls short.

But in a financial world dominated by sovereign risk, inflation, and constant policy uncertainty, bitcoin starts to look more like an asset that investors might need to consider for durability, neutrality and liquidity.

In this evolving landscape, maybe bitcoin isn’t failing the safe haven test. Maybe the old playbook of what safe haven is, needs to change.



source https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/04/12/gold-and-bonds-safe-haven-allure-may-be-fading-with-bitcoin-emergence

Friday, April 11, 2025

Weekly Recap: Crypto Emerges From the Tariff War

Tariffs, tariffs, tariffs.

Trump’s on-again, off-again import levies dominated the week. At the beginning, tariffs sent stocks and crypto appreciably lower. By the end, with all new non-China tariffs paused for 90 days, markets were up again.

Bitcoin returned to a level ($82,000) that it was at this time last week. And analysts debated whether, in the panic of the previous days, it showed “safe haven” qualities (like gold) or whether it was a risk-asset like many others. The consensus was that bitcoin performed resiliently rather than completely reassuringly.

Our Asia reporting team led the way on our markets coverage. Omkar Godbole started the week strong by revealing how the unwinding of the "basis trade" could impact bitcoin price. Sam Reynolds wrote on how Kalshi was set to win its legal battle in Nevada, hours before the prediction market got its first victory in the state. Shaurya Malwa reported on the first XRP ETF listing in the U.S. and how Teucrium's leveraged fund received $5m during its first day of trading.

From our European team, there was some timely analysis from James Van Straten, and the All-Important U.S. 10-Year Yield Moving in the Wrong Direction for Trump, and a story showing the resilience of the decentralized economy from Oliver Knight, How DeFi 'Defied' Market Carnage as Traders Poured Millions Amid Panic. Our coverage expanded beyond just tariffs and market reactions, with Jamie Crawley's scoop, Rootstock Prepares to Release SDKs for Bitcoin Layer 2s Using BitVMX after he took the opportunity offered by an embargoed press release to phone the company and interview the founder. And there was a nice DeFi follow-up on the repercussions of HyperLiquid's price manipulation exploit from March by Oliver, How the Hype for HyperLiquid's Vault Evaporated on Concerns Over Centralization.

Meanwhile, there was lots of news that wasn’t tariff-related.

Paul Atkins was confirmed as the new SEC chair. The Department of Justice closed down its crypto enforcement unit, prompting criticism, from Democrats and others, that it’s not serious about combating malfeasance. The SEC approved ETH ETF options, following a long delay. And President Trump put an end to a controversial DeFi accounting rule.

It was a week that showed how crypto was increasingly central to finance and even macro-economics. Fun times are ahead. 



source https://www.coindesk.com/opinion/2025/04/11/weekly-recap-crypto-emerges-from-the-tariff-war

Thursday, April 10, 2025

How Bitcoin Miners Are Adjusting to the Threat of Tariffs: Blockspace

Bitcoin miners are scrambling to adjust to Trump’s global tariffs, which are poised to increase prices on ASIC miners, electrical gear, network infrastructure and more.

“It’s a complete scramble,” Luxor COO Ethan Vera said on last week’s Mining Pod news roundup. “From the ASIC trading front and brokerage, miners have not been very proactive here. They have not necessarily frontrun orders and gotten them into the U.S…they’re operating in a less than a week period here to make sure all shipments that are coming out of SE Asia are picked up and getting delivered.”

This article first appeared on Blockspace Media, the leading Bitcoin industry publication dedicated to covering Bitcoin tech, markets, mining, and ordinals. Get Blockspace articles directly in your inbox by clicking here.

ASIC prices have trended slightly downward over the past year, according to data from Hashrate Index’s ASIC Price Index. A new-gen model, like the S21, currently runs miners roughly $3,400.

Working overtime to pull forward ASIC orders before these tariffs that were due to take effect on April 9, top firms chartered flights at 2-4x the usual rate, anywhere from $2-3.5 million per flight according to estimates provided to Blockspace from Synteq Digital CEO Taras Kulyk and Luxor’s Vera.

But the initial panic was in response to the now outdated tariff policy. Before Wednesday’s 90-day pause on all but Chinese tariffs, the Trump administration had proposed blanket tariffs on more than 180 countries, including 24% on Malaysia, 36% on Thailand, and 32% on Indonesia – three countries that predominantly manufacture the ASIC mining computers that are the beating heart of the mining business.

During the 90-day grace period, The Trump Administration has lowered the reciprocal tariffs to a flat rate of 10% for all affected countries except China. So the scrambling seems to have been somewhat in vain. Or perhaps not – the administration’s trade policies are so mercurial, so it’s anyone’s guess as to whether the 10% rate will stand once the grace period ends.

Even at 10%, the tariffs are material enough that they will hamper efforts to deploy hashrate in the U.S., the dominant market currently with an estimated 35-40% share of Bitcoin’s hashrate. As it stands, it’s likely that the tariffs will noticeably slow bitcoin’s hashrate growth this year versus prior expectations.

Blockspace estimates that U.S. bitcoin miners imported over $2.3 billion worth of ASIC miners last year and over $860 million in Q1, starting with Malaysia, Thailand and Indonesia, the leading makers of such machines.

The originally proposed reciprocal tariffs

Bitmain and MicroBT, which collectively corner 90%-plus of the ASIC miner market, moved their ASIC manufacturing capacity outside of China to Malaysia, Thailand, and Indonesia in response to Trump’s China tariffs in his first term. MicroBT opened a U.S. assembly plant in 2023, and Kulyk said that Bitmain opened its first U.S. assembly line in January. Still, these plants represent a fraction of either manufacturer’s total production.

Kulyk said that “U.S. production will have a material discount” compared to imported hardware. But they will still suffer from tariffs on raw material like aluminum, electronic components for control boards and the like. So ASICs produced in America will still be more expensive than before the tariffs were introduced, especially if the proposed 125% tariff on Chinese goods holds.

Vera said Chinese electrical components are slated for a 50% or more tariff (and could even be subject to as much as 125% based on an updated rate from the Trump administration). This will affect everything from ASIC miner prices to electrical infrastructure at the mines themselves.

As the tariffs increase the cost of imported ASIC miners and other mining equipment, then all else being equal, any existing facilities in the U.S. should become more valuable. Even so, U.S. miners looking to expand might find acquisitions an easier route than importing equipment. Accordingly, Kulyk expects the tariffs will furnish merger and acquisition deals, explaining that “suddenly these miners that have older gear that seem like zombies actually look like interesting acquisition opportunities.”

“A big blow” for the American bitcoin mining sector

Kulyk said that currently “no one is buying” on the secondary market as they wait to see where the chips fall.

In the medium term, the tariffs are indisputably a “big blow” to the U.S. bitcoin mining sector, that is “certainly going to stagnate growth in the industry if these tariffs continue,” Vera said.

“If you’re paying more for a machine than your competitor in Canada or Russia, it’s going to be hard to compete with international miners.”

“Canada, from an economic perspective, will actually be a much more interesting place to do business. Corporate taxes are slated to be reduced. Capital gains taxes slated to be reduced. There’s a lot of wind in the sale of Canadian economic growth, especially on the data center side,” Kulyk said.

Mark Carney, the Liberal Party frontrunner in Canada’s election, supports bolstering Canada’s data center and energy industries. But Canadian provinces such as Ontario and Quebec have moratoriums on new power applications for bitcoin miners, so doubts remain about Canada’s attractiveness to miners as an alternative to the U.S.

Kulyk believes that Northern Europe could also be scouted for hashrate expansion, while Vera said that miners might find a few gigawatts of opportunity in South America and parts of Africa too.

But growth will be limited if miners can’t tap the U.S., which has led global hashrate growth since China’s 2021 bitcoin mining ban. Vera believes that the tariffs’ impact on bitcoin mining will be of a similar scale as the China mining ban, and that hashrate will shuffle away from the U.S. to other countries. The tariffs could also materially lower the cost of ASICs in other markets, since international miners won’t be competing with the biggest buyers, U.S. miners, for allocation.

“In terms of the scale of geopolitical impact, it’s probably relevant to think about this as being on par with the China ban,” Vera said. “The benefits are going to be international miners, who are most likely going to be accessing machines at a much cheaper cost now because they are not competing with as much demand from the U.S.”

“You could make the case that network hashrate will continue its rise…but the U.S. has been a large part of its growth as an energy superpower…there’s not that much power to go around,” Vera concluded. UPDATE April 10, 22:04 UTC: Corrects Trump's tariff policy



source https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2025/04/10/how-bitcoin-miners-are-adjusting-to-trump-s-tariffs-blockspace

Bitcoin Life Insurance Firm Meanwhile Raises $40M to Expand Globally

Meanwhile, a startup offering life insurance and annuities denominated in bitcoin (BTC), raised $40 million in series A funding round, CEO Zac Townsend said on Thursday in an X post. The investment was led by venture capital firms Framework and Fulgur Ventures, with early Bitcoin-advocate Wences Casares also participating.

Traditional life insurance pays out in fiat currencies. Meanwhile flips this model, keeping premiums and benefits in bitcoin, aiming to help policyholders guard against inflation and currency devaluation. In countries where local currencies lose value, holding policies in BTC could help preserve purchasing power for future payouts. However, policyholders also take on bitcoin’s price volatility.

Read more: Crypto for Advisors: Bitcoin Inheritance Strategies

The firm plans to use the funds to accelerate its global rollout, targeting regions where inflation and currency instability are everyday concerns, Townsend said. Meanwhile did not disclose its current valuation or specific market entry plans in the announcement.

"This round gives us significant capital to power our journey of building the world's largest long-term insurance and savings company," Townsend said.

The investment follows on an earlier, $20 million round from a range of investors including Sam Altman, CEO of artificial intelligence firm OpenAI, alongside Google's AI-focused fund Gradient Ventures. The company secured a digital life insurer license in Bermuda last year.



source https://www.coindesk.com/business/2025/04/10/bitcoin-life-insurance-firm-meanwhile-raises-usd40m-to-expand-globally

Wednesday, April 9, 2025

The Protocol: EigenLayer Ready to Launch Missing Feature

Welcome to The Protocol, CoinDesk's weekly wrap-up of the most important stories in cryptocurrency tech development. We’re Margaux Nijkerk and Sam Kessler, reporters on CoinDesk’s Tech team.

In this issue:

EigenLayer Finally Ready To Launch Critical Missing Feature

RootstockLabs Prepares To Release SDKs for Bitcoin Layer 2s Using BitVMX

Inside North Korea’s Favorite Crypto Laundering Tool: THORChain

Bitcoin Developer Proposes Hard Fork To Protect BTC From Quantum Computing Threats

This article is featured in the latest issue of The Protocol, our weekly newsletter exploring the tech behind crypto, one block at a time. Sign up here to get it in your inbox every Wednesday.

Network News

EIGENLAYER’S KEY FEATURE IS FINALLY COMING: EigenLayer, the restaking protocol, shared last week that it will finally introduce its long-awaited slashing feature on April 17, marking the protocol's first "feature-complete" version. Slashing will allow Actively Validated Services (AVSs) — apps built atop EigenLayer's restaking system — to penalize operators who fail to meet pre-established conditions, and reward those who do. EigenLayer originally pioneered the concept of restaking, a way for Ethereum users to secure additional protocols beyond the base layer by recommitting their staked Ether. Slashing was supposed to be a core part of this system, providing apps a way to punish bad actors by seizing a portion of their capital. Since slashing was not part of EigenLayer when it initially launched in 2024, it left room for competitors to gain market share. Symbiotic, which allows for the restaking of any asset, has been used by EigenLayer early adopters including Hyperlane, an interoperability framework, and Ethena, a popular synthetic dollar protocol. — Sam Kessler Read more.

BUILDING LAYER-2S ON BITCOIN COMING SOON: One of the oldest Bitcoin ecosystem projects is moving to the next stage of enabling developers to build layer-2 networks using its computational layer. Rootstock is one of many projects currently advancing the goal of bringing greater utility and interoperability to Bitcoin, which it is doing using "BitVMX", a modified version of the BitVM programming language. RootstockLabs project is weeks away from releasing software development kits (SDKs), allowing developers to start producing their own Bitcoin layer-2s using BitVMX, founder Sergio Lerner told CoinDesk. SDKs are sets of tools enabling third-parties to build applications using a particular platform or framework. "We are very close to having all the pieces ready for people to start building their own solutions on top of BitVMX," Lerner said in an interview. — Jamie Crawley Read more.

NORTH KOREA’S PREFERRED CRYPTO LAUNDERING TOOL: In February, North Korea stole $1.4 billion in the biggest-ever crypto heist. THORChain, a network used to swap crypto, has become central to North Korea's laundering operations — used to bridge 85% of funds from the hack. Unlike some other blockchain services, THORChain's operators have refused to block transactions linked to the Bybit heist, despite requests from the FBI and other government agencies. THORChain wallets like Asgardex and Vultisig — tools that most people use to transact on the network — haven't budged, either. According to estimates from blockchain security researchers who spoke to CoinDesk, THORChain's major wallet developers and validators — many publicly identified and based in jurisdictions with strict anti-money-laundering regulations, including the U.S. — have earned over $12 million in fees connected to the heist. The U.S. Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) has previously sanctioned blockchain services used in connection with money laundering, such as the mixer app Tornado Cash (which has since been delisted after a court ruling) and Bitzlato, an exchange. Prosecutors have also charged operators behind similar platforms. For legal experts and the crypto community, whether THORChain — a layer-1 blockchain — should be treated differently than these other services revives a fundamental debate faced by virtually all crypto platforms: Is the network truly decentralized? — Sam Kessler Read more.

CAN BITCOIN RESIST QUANTUM COMPUTING?: Bitcoin could be headed for its most sweeping cryptographic overhaul yet if a new proposal gains traction. A draft Bitcoin Improvement Proposal (BIP) titled Quantum-Resistant Address Migration Protocol (QRAMP) has been introduced by developer Agustin Cruz. It outlines a plan to enforce a network-wide migration of BTC from legacy wallets to ones secured by post-quantum cryptography. Quantum computing involves moving away from a process reliant on binary code, ones and zeros, and exponentially increasing computing power by employing Quantum bits (qubits) that exist in multiple states simultaneously. Such a jump in power is expected to threaten modern computing encryption built by classic machines. The proposal suggests that after a predetermined block height, nodes running the updated software would reject any transaction trying to spend coins from an address using ECDSA cryptography, which could theoretically make it vulnerable to quantum attacks. — Francisco Rodrigues Read more.

In Other News

The first Ripple (XRP) ETF went live on Tuesday. Also on Tuesday, Ripple agreed to acquire multi-asset prime brokerage firm Hidden Road for $1.25 billion, marking one of the largest M&A deals in the digital asset industry to date. — Will Canny and Shaurya Malwa

Galaxy Digital plans to redomicile in Delaware and list shares on Nasdaq after May 9 shareholder vote. The news comes a week after Galaxy, a major crypto venture firm, agreed to pay $200 million in a settlement with the New York attorney general’s office related to the fund's involvement in the 2022 Terra-Luna collapse. — Tom Carreras Read more

Regulatory and Policy

China and Europe both approved retaliatory tariffs against the United States — the latest development in a trade war ignited by U.S. President Donald Trump that has ripped through global markets, including digital asset markets. — CoinDesk

The price of bitcoin dropped below $77K on Wednesday, representing a relatively modest 8% decline since the announcement of Donald Trump's 'Liberation Day' tariffs. Recession fears have teed up a major test for crypto markets, which were born out of the 2008 financial crisis and have not existed through a major U.S. recession. So far, the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector has shown signs of resilience. — Oliver Knight Read more

Argentina's congress has launched an investigation into LIBRA, the alleged pump-and-dump memecoin project promoted by president Javier Milei. The token wiped out 90% for investors and led to calls for Mile's impeachment. —Francisco Rodrigues Read more

Calendar

April 8-10: Paris Blockchain Week

April 30-May 1: Token 2049, Dubai

May 14-16: Consensus, Toronto

May 20-22: Avalanche Summit, London

May 27-29: Bitcoin 2025, Las Vegas

June 30-July 3: EthCC, Cannes

Oct. 1-2: Token2049, Singapore



source https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2025/04/09/the-protocol-eigenlayer-ready-to-launch-missing-feature

Tuesday, April 8, 2025

Bitcoin Bears Eye $70K, Ether Drops 10% as Trump Tariffs Start Global Menace

Bitcoin (BTC) dipped to nearly $75,000 early Wednesday, before slightly recovering, as Trump’s sweeping global tariffs went into effect.

Ether (ETH) dived 10%, leading losses among major tokens, with xrp (XRP), dogecoin (DOGE), BNB Chain’s BNB, Solana’s SOL and Cardano’s ADA down more than 5%. Overall market capitalization decreased 6%, extending a 7-day slide to nearly 15%.

Smaller tokens showed even deeper losses, with trendy upstart Berachain’s BERA down 20% and memecoins bonk (BONK), pepe (PEPE) and floki (FLOKI) down more than 9%.

Traders’ retreat from crypto majors continued, reversing all gains from Tuesday’s relief rally as Trump pushes forward efforts to drastically reorder global trade. Tariffs on any Chinese goods were hiked to 104%, along with import taxes on over 60 trading partners.

U.S. treasuries extended their selloff, with 30-year yields soaring more than 20 basis points to 4.98%. That’s a U-turn from the usual safe haven status that bond investors enjoy and a deeply worrying sign for traders.

Some market watchers speculated the sell-off may have been caused by a forced liquidation of a large player.

"Since Friday's close to now the 30-year yield is up 56 bps, in three trading days," Jim Bianco, the well-followed founder of Bianco Research, said in an X post. "The last time this yield rose this much in 3 days (close to close) was January 7, 1982, when the yield was 14%."

"This kind of historic move is caused by a forced liquidation, not human managers make decisions about the outlook for rates at midnight ET," he added.

Rising yields mean bond prices are falling and increase the cost of borrowing for the U.S. government, which could exacerbate the federal deficit, already strained by heavy debt levels.

Investors worry that a prolonged trade war could weaken global trade, disrupt supply chains, and slow U.S. economic growth. This could further pressure U.S equity markets and bitcoin, which tends to mirror the ebbs and flows of U.S. markets.

The current selloff suggests the market is pricing in inflation now, but prolonged uncertainty could flip this dynamic.

Bears take charge

Meanwhile, some traders are eyeing a bitcoin drop to as low as $70,000 in the near term amid the tariff escalations, a move that could further pressure crypto majors.

“For investors, the short-term outlook calls for caution, while a further drop to $70,000–$75,000 for Bitcoin is possible if trade tensions escalate, yet this dip presents a buying opportunity for the long haul,” Ryan Lee, Chief Analyst at Bitget Research, told CoinDesk in a Telegram message.

“Dollar-cost averaging into Bitcoin is a prudent move now, with an eye on altcoins like Solana for higher-risk upside later.” Lee remained upbeat for recovery to peak prices if the situation lightens in the coming months.

“If macro conditions stabilize or pro-crypto policies emerge, we could see Bitcoin hit $95,000–$100,000 by late 2025, lifting the market cap past $3 trillion again. While tariff pressures and a risk-off sentiment have hit altcoins hard, Bitcoin’s resilience and rising dominance near 60% suggest the ecosystem’s fundamentals remain solid, supported by institutional adoption and long-term tailwinds like the halving cycle,” he added.



source https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/04/09/bitcoin-bears-eye-usd70k-ether-drops-10-as-trump-tariffs-start-global-menace

Bitcoin Resilience Suggests Bullish Outlook as Dollar Weakens, Stagflation Looms — Grayscale

Bitcoin investors may not exactly feel it, but BTC has been a relatively good bet since President Trump's tariff plans last week resulted in historic losses in traditional markets. While stocks and other mainstream investments have been falling off a cliff since the “Liberation Day” announcement April 2, bitcoin has remained relatively steady losing “only” 8% of its value.

“I think this is the most bullish 8% drawdown I’ve ever seen in bitcoin,” said Zach Pandl, head of research at Grayscale, a leading crypto investment manager.

Based on historical data, you would expect bitcoin to have three times the volatility of the Nasdaq, Pandl said. And yet while the Nasdaq was down 15% at the beginning of trading April 8 (compared to April 2), bitcoin was nowhere near 45% down.

In other words, an 8% decline is a positive as historical patterns predicted a far steeper tumble.

“I think crypto investors should be extremely pleased with the modest pullback in bitcoin,” Pandl, a former analyst at Goldman Sachs, told CoinDesk.

“It reflects that tariffs — while they are a short term risk-off event for markets — are probably to be something that’s supportive for bitcoin adoption in the longer run. I think the relatively moderate drawdown reflects that,” he added.

Pandl is bullish on bitcoin in an environment where the dollar is potentially losing its place as a global reserve currency.

“Stagflation is going to be negative for stocks and bonds, and, historically, that has been positive for scarce commodities. Investors who are concerned by stagflation are looking for alternative assets that can drive returns. In traditional markets that might be gold or copper, and bitcoin,” he said.

Pandl says bitcoin’s relatively good performance reflects a rotation away from large-cap tech stocks towards commodity assets like bitcoin. You can see this in the performance of bitcoin against Roundhill “Magnificent 7 ETF.” You can now buy more of that ETF with one bitcoin compared to a week ago.

To those who subscribe to Bitcoin’s long-term investment thesis as a safe haven in uncertain times, the last few days have been a test case where bitcoin is winning. In theory, say these advocates, bitcoin should benefit as investors seek alternatives to dollars in times of stress.

“If you believe that the erosion of the dollar’s position is part of the bitcoin thesis, then your conviction in that thesis in the last week should have gone up,” Pandl says.

He expects bitcoin’s price to rise in the medium-term, reaching new all-time-highs this year.

“The price of bitcoin is down but conviction is up and there’s no need to change the medium term price outlook,” he said.



source https://www.coindesk.com/business/2025/04/08/bitcoin-resilience-suggests-bullish-outlook-as-dollar-weakens-stagflation-looms-grayscale

DeFi Borrowing Demand Plunges as Crypto Traders Deleverage Amid Market Turmoil

Borrowing demand across decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols plunged sharply in the wake of the recent crypto market turmoil, a sign of widespread deleveraging as crypto investors unwound risky positions.

The average U.S. dollar stablecoin yield — what protocols pay out to lenders for lending out their assets — fell to 2.8% on Tuesday to its lowest level in a year, measured by DeFi yield-earning application vaults.fyi's benchmark. That's well below the average U.S. dollar money market rates on traditional markets (4.3%), and a hefty decline from mid-December's crypto market peak, when DeFi rates topped 18%.

"This is largely due to the market moving towards a risk-off environment where borrowing across protocols has decreased significantly," said Ryan Rodenbaugh, CEO of Wallfacer Labs, the team behind vaults.fyi.

The move reflects risk-off sentiment spreading across crypto markets, with investors pulling back leverage amid volatile price swings. As users repay loans and liquidations clear out under-collateralized positions, demand for borrowing dips. Meanwhile, deposits available for lending on protocols remained stable, per vaults.fyi data, meaning that declining revenue from borrowers are spread among the same amount of lenders, exerting downward pressure on yields.

That's a "negative double-whammy" for the rates that the remaining lenders are getting paid, Rodenbaugh said.

The sharp decline in yields and deleveraging was exacerbated by this weekend's carnage in crypto markets, as major DeFi lending protocols reported a wave of liquidations amid rapidly plunging asset prices. Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum's ETH, two assets predominantly used as collateral for crypto loans, suffered 10%-15% declines below $75,000 and $1,500, respectively.

Aave, the largest decentralized lending market by total value locked (TVL), processed over $110 million in forced liquidations during the Sunday-Monday market decline, Omer Goldberg, CEO of DeFi analytics firm Chaos Labs, noted citing on-chain data.

Sky (formerly MakerDAO), issuer of the $7 billion USDS stablecoin and one of DeFi’s largest lending platforms, also liquidated an ether whale's $74 million DAI loan collateralized by 67,570 ETH, worth $106 million at the time, on-chain data shows. Another large lender with 65,000 ETH in collateral scrambled to pay off portions of their $66 million loan to avoid a similar fate, bringing down the outstanding debt to $28 million.

The total value of borrowed assets on Aave dropped to $10 billion on Tuesday, a sharp drop from over $15 billion in mid-December, DefiLlama data shows. Morpho, another key lending protocol, saw a similar drop to $1.7 billion from $2.4 billion during the same period, per DefiLlama.



source https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/04/08/defi-borrowing-demand-plunges-as-crypto-traders-deleverage-amid-market-turmoil

Monday, April 7, 2025

Galaxy Digital Gets SEC Nod for U.S. Listing, Eyes Nasdaq Debut in May

Galaxy Digital is moving closer to a U.S. stock market listing after the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved its registration statement tied to a corporate reorganization.

The crypto and AI infrastructure firm, currently listed in the Toronto Stock Exchange, aims to shift its home base from the Cayman Islands to Delaware and list shares on the Nasdaq as “GLXY.” The firm’s expansion into the U.S. market comes as institutional demand for regulated crypto products continues to grow.

The company has scheduled a shareholder vote on the reorganization for May 9. The firm is expected to list shortly afterward. CEO Mike Novogratz called the registration effectiveness “an important milestone” in the firm’s bid to expand its reach.

Galaxy provides institutional services in crypto trading, asset management, and tokenization. It also invests in and operates data centers that power AI and high-performance computing.

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.



source https://www.coindesk.com/business/2025/04/07/galaxy-digital-gets-sec-nod-for-u-s-listing-eyes-nasdaq-debut-in-may

Inside North Korea's Favorite Crypto Laundering Tool: THORChain

John-Paul Thorbjornsen, a former Australian Air Force pilot turned crypto entrepreneur, has spent recent weeks promoting his new crypto wallet, "Vultisig." Built on THORChain — a blockchain he founded to allow crypto swaps without intermediaries — the wallet's main selling point is that it's harder to hack than similar apps.

Recently, Vultisig — along with the THORChain network itself — has seen a spike in activity, but security experts have traced the growth to a troubling source: North Korea's Lazarus hacking group.

Following February's $1.4 billion hack of crypto exchange Bybit — the largest cyber heist in history — THORChain emerged as central to North Korea's laundering operations. Researchers have tracked nearly $1.2 billion — or 85%— of the stolen funds through the network, which has become the Kim regime's primary tool for moving crypto between blockchains.

Unlike some other blockchain services, THORChain's operators have refused to block transactions linked to the Bybit heist, despite requests from the FBI and other government agencies. THORChain wallets like Asgardex and Vultisig — tools that most people use to transact on the network — haven't budged, either.

According to estimates from blockchain security researchers who spoke to CoinDesk, THORChain's major wallet developers and validators — many publicly identified and based in jurisdictions with strict anti-money-laundering regulations, including the U.S. — have earned over $12 million in fees connected to the heist.

Thorbjornsen, known publicly as JP Thor, insists he is no longer involved in THORChain’s daily operations yet remains its most visible advocate. “The protocol keeps running and swapping despite chaos,” he told CoinDesk. “It’s doing great, actually.”

The U.S. Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) has previously sanctioned blockchain services used in connection with money laundering, such as the mixer app Tornado Cash (which has since been delisted after a court ruling) and Bitzlato, an exchange. Prosecutors have also charged operators behind similar platforms.

For legal experts and the crypto community, whether THORChain — a layer-1 blockchain — should be treated differently than these other services revives a fundamental debate faced by virtually all crypto platforms: Is the network truly decentralized?

Critics argue it isn't — at least in comparison to popular blockchains like Bitcoin and Ethereum, which have earned less scrutiny for facilitating illicit transactions. THORChain's supporters "claim it's decentralized when convenient, yet they're profiting from this [Bybit hack]," said blockchain security researcher Taylor Monahan. "It's a really bad look."

THORChain's transaction fees — particularly those earned by its wallet apps, which are maintained by small developer teams — further complicate its defense. According to a former U.S. Treasury Department official, "Anybody making money on fees related to the movement of hacked funds that have already been publicly attributed to Lazarus and North Korea potentially has an OFAC issue."

Even some of THORChain's most vocal supporters have grown concerned. "When the huge majority of your flows are stolen funds from North Korea for the biggest money heist in human history, it will become a national security issue," cautioned a THORChain developer known as "TCB" on X. "[T]his isn't a game anymore."

Biggest hack in history

February's hack of Bybit, a major Dubai-based crypto exchange, was large even by the standards of the Lazarus group — the elite North Korean cyber unit behind most of the largest crypto heists of the past decade.

The hack took place after Bybit's founder was tricked into interacting with a website that Lazarus had compromised. The mistake granted the hackers access to some of Bybit's primary Ethereum wallets. They stole $1.4 billion worth of ether (ETH) tokens from the exchange.

North Korea's launderers, well-practiced after years of big-money crypto heists, immediately began splitting their record-breaking haul across a series of fresh crypto wallets — the first step in a complex journey designed to convert dirty crypto into clean cash.

"DPRK uses advanced technical capabilities to launder cryptocurrency," explained Andrew Fierman, the head of national security intelligence at Chainalysis. After moving the funds "through an extensive number of intermediary wallets," the launderers use "cross-chain bridges in order to move the stolen funds across various different assets, such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Tron, Solana and others."

THORChain proved essential to the bridging stage, serving as a go-between for swapping tokens across blockchains — often repeatedly, to throw investigators off their trail.

"Before ThorChain existed, there was no way to swap from Ethereum to Bitcoin without getting frozen," explained Monahan, a security researcher at MetaMask.

Centralized swap services — including crypto exchanges like Coinbase and Binance — require users to register their accounts and risk having illicit funds seized. Most decentralized services, meanwhile, lack the liquidity to support transactions on the scale of the Lazarus group.

Put on notice

On the day after the Bybit hack, THORChain's daily swap volume exceeded $529 million — its biggest trading day ever, according to data from DeFiLlama. Volumes continued climbing for days afterward, generating millions of dollars in fees for THORChain's validators, liquidity providers and wallet services.

On February 27, the FBI circulated a list of DPRK-linked blockchain addresses and urged "private sector entities including RPC node operators, exchanges, bridges, blockchain analytics firms, DeFi services, and other virtual asset service providers to block transactions with or derived from [them]."

By this point, many of the other crypto tools used by North Korea's launderers had already begun blocking heist-linked activity.

Tether, the largest stablecoin operator, eventually froze $9 million linked to the heist, and Mantle, a layer-2 blockchain connected to Ethereum, froze $41 million more. One platform — a decentralized exchange operated by the company OKX — paused its services altogether.

For a moment, THORChain seemed like it might follow suit. In response to the FBI's notice, a group of THORChain validators coordinated to halt Ethereum swaps on the protocol — a move intended to slow the outflow of illicit funds. But the pause lasted just 30 minutes before it was rolled back following community pushback.

"There is no proof, nor can there be, that any signed and propagated transaction is from a specific geographical location," Thorbjornsen told CoinDesk, arguing that any links between THORChain and North Korea are "alleged" since the network's users are not forced to register themselves.

The pause reversal proved to be a breaking point for some in the THORChain community. “Effective immediately, I will no longer be contributing to THORChain,” the protocol’s lead developer, known as “Pluto,” wrote in an X post.

Decentralization theater?

Thorbjornsen and others maintain that THORChain should be treated as a decentralized protocol like Bitcoin or Ethereum, neither of which blocked transactions following the Bybit heist.

They point to its community of more than 100 validators — computers that verify transactions — as evidence that no single entity controls the system.

THORChain's governance model relies on these validators who stake the network's native RUNE token to participate in consensus and earn rewards. In theory, major protocol decisions require approval from a supermajority of these validators, creating a distributed power structure resistant to centralized control.

Critics, however, argue the network is not nearly as decentralized as claimed. In January, a single developer paused the network during a liquidity crisis — an action that should have required validator consensus if the system were more decentralized.

When THORChain was involved in previous North Korean laundering operations, "we were told there was nothing they could do about the illicit funds," said Monahan. "The entire time, JP had a single private key that had control over the entire system."

Thorbjornsen concedes the chain was paused by an administrative keyholder at a moment when THORChain was facing an "existential" threat. However, Thorbjornsen said the pause was initiated by a keyholder with the pseudonym "Leena."

Thorbjornsen created the Leena account early in THORChain's development and initially used it to hide his real identity. He now says the Leena account is no longer solely controlled by him, and someone else paused the chain in accordance with acceptable security procedures.

For Thorbjornsen, the debate over who controlled the admin key misses the larger point.

"In the first couple years of Bitcoin existing, you could have easily made the case that Bitcoin was completely centralized," he told CoinDesk, pointing to an instance in 2010 where Satoshi upgraded the original blockchain to fix a major bug.

"Decentralization is earned, and it's earned by years of being in the arena and proving it," Thorbjornsen said. "All of these things like the pause and the unpause … this is all part of the journey of decentralization."

Business as usual

On March 1, THORChain's biggest day of trading following the Bybit heist, the network recorded over $1 billion in swaps, more than it typically processes in an entire month.

The activity was a boon for THORChain's infrastructure providers — wallet services and validators who take a cut of each transaction on the network.

According to blockchain forensics firm Chainalysis, THORChain node operators earned at least $12 million in fees connected to the Bybit heist. Chainalysis called its estimate "conservative."

According to legal experts, these fees are what could ultimately get THORChain's operators into trouble. A former U.S. Treasury Department official warned in an interview with CoinDesk that "a lot of this just comes down to the question of who's making money: Is it a concentrated set of people, and is it relatively knowable that [the funds] are from bad actors?"

Wallet apps like Vultisig and Asgardex have earned special scrutiny from legal and security experts, since "frontend" applications used to interact with blockchains are generally considered more centralized than blockchains themselves.

Asgardex, one of the more popular THORChain wallets, earned $1 million from Bybit-linked transactions, according to Monahan. "The reason why you use Asgardex" as opposed to other THORChain wallets "is because you don't want tracking — you don't want filtering or anything," said Thorbjornsen, who helped develop the program.

Thorbjornsen says he no longer has an operational or financial stake in Asgardex, which is open-source and can technically be re-programmed by its users to operate without fees. However, he has recently actively promoted VultiSig, his new hack-resistant THORChain wallet.

On March 20, Thorbjornsen boasted in an X post that more people than ever were using the app: "Vultisig swaps have collected $200k in revenue so far!" ZachXBT, a crypto sleuth known for investigating North Korea's cyber operations, responded by pointing out that "a good chunk of that revenue is being generated from the Bybit hack."

"Vultisig is not a chain," ZachXBT said. "[T]hey operate a centralized interface for users to interact with protocols for a fee."

On April 16, Vultisig is launching its official crypto token: VULT. The token will be distributed for free to some of the wallet's most loyal users.



source https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2025/04/07/the-blockchain-fueling-north-korea-s-massive-crypto-laundering-operation

Sunday, April 6, 2025

Bitcoin Posts Worst Q1 in a Decade, Raising Questions About Where the Cycle Stands

Bitcoin just notched its worst first quarter in a decade, falling 11.7% as markets struggled to understand the new administration’s economic agenda.

The performance ranked 12th out of the past 15 first quarters, according to NYDIG Research's data.

The drawdown invites a familiar question in crypto circles: is the cycle over? The last time bitcoin started the year this poorly was in 2015, during a prolonged slump following the 2013 peak and after the collapse of Mt. Gox, according to NYDIG. Back then, prices recovered modestly over the rest of the year before surging in 2016.

In the first quarter of 2020, amid a market sell-off tied to fears surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic, BTC saw a 9.4% drawdown but then recovered to end the year up over 300%. In other years with negative Q1 returns—like 2014, 2018 and 2022—bitcoin ended the year down sharply, coinciding with the tail ends of previous bull cycles, the research note said.

This time around, the backdrop is murky. Cryptocurrency prices surged after Donald Trump won the U.S. election in November after running a pro-crypto campaign. While under the Trump administration, the sector has been gaining greater regulatory clarity, and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) backed off a number of lawsuits against crypto firms, it isn’t all bullish.

Trump unveiled his reciprocal tariffs against nearly every country in the world last week, leading to a massive $5.4 trillion U.S. equities market wipeout in just two days. This led to the S&P 500 index's lowest level in 11 months and the Nasdaq 100's entry into bear market territory. While bitcoin has outperformed so far, what will happen after Monday’s opening bell is unclear.

Historically, a weak Q1 doesn’t always spell doom for BTC, NYDIG’s data shows. The asset has bounced back in half of the years when it started in the red. The recent macroeconomic backdrop has seen analysts raise recession odds, which could test BTC’s role as a “U.S. isolation hedge.” Read more: Chart of The Week: Will April Bring Good Luck or Fool's Hope for Bitcoin?



source https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/04/06/bitcoin-posts-worst-q1-in-a-decade-raising-questions-about-where-the-cycle-stands

Chart of the Week: Bond Market Could be Bitcoin's 'Canary in the Coal Mine' Signal

Credit spreads are widening and have reached their highest levels since August 2024 — a period that coincided with bitcoin (BTC) dropping 33% during the yen carry trade unwind.

One way to track this is through the ratio of the iShares 3–7 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEI) to the iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG). This IEI/HYG ratio, highlighted by analyst Caleb Franzen, serves as a proxy for credit spreads and is now showing its sharpest spike since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis in March 2023 — a moment that marked a local bottom in bitcoin just below $20,000.

Historically, bitcoin and other risk assets tend to fall during sharp credit spread expansions.

The key question now is whether this surge has peaked or if more downside lies ahead. If spreads continue to rise, it could reflect mounting stress in financial markets — and spell further trouble for risk-on positioning.

A credit spread represents the yield difference between safe government bonds and riskier corporate bonds. When spreads widen, it signals growing risk aversion and tightening financial conditions.

However, Friday's market action seems to indicate that bitcoin is starting to decouple from the traditional markets, outperforming equities. One analyst event called it the new "U.S. isolation hedge," indicating that BTC might be starting to act more like a safe haven or digital gold for TradFi investors. Read more: Crypto Outperforms Nasdaq as BTC Becomes 'U.S. Isolation Hedge' Amid $5T Equities Carnage



source https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/04/06/chart-of-the-week-bond-market-could-be-bitcoin-s-canary-in-the-coal-mine-signal

Bitcoin's Price Stability at Risk From Potential 'Basis Trade Blowup' That Catalyzed the COVID Crash

Bitcoin's (BTC) recent stability amid Nasdaq turmoil driven by tariffs has generated excitement among market participants regarding the cryptocurrency's potential as a haven asset. Still, the bulls might want to keep an eye on the bond market where dynamics that characterized the COVID crash of March 2020 may be emerging.

Nasdaq, Wall Street's tech-heavy index known to be positively correlated to bitcoin, has dropped 11% since President Donald Trump on Wednesday announced reciprocal tariffs on 180 nations, escalating trade tensions and drawing retaliatory levies from China. Other U.S. indices and global markets have also taken a beating alongside sharp losses in the risk currencies like the Australian dollar and a pullback in gold.

BTC has largely remained stable, continuing to trade above $80,000, and its resilience is being viewed as a sign of its evolution into a macro hedge.

"The S&P 500 is down roughly 5% this week as investors brace for trade-driven earnings headwinds. Bitcoin, meanwhile, has shown impressive resilience. After briefly dipping below $82,000, it rebounded quickly, reinforcing its status as a macro hedge in times of macroeconomic stress. Its relative strength could continue to attract institutional inflows if broad market volatility persists," David Hernandez, crypto investment specialist at 21Shares, told CoinDesk in an email.

The perception of stability could quickly transform into a self-fulfilling prophecy, solidifying BTC's position as a haven asset for years to come, as MacroScope noted on X.

Treasury basis trade risks

However, sharp downside volatility in the short term cannot be ruled out, especially as the "Treasury market basis trade" faces risks due to heightened turbulence in bond prices.

The basis trade involves highly leveraged hedge funds, reportedly operating at leverage ratios of 50-to-1, exploiting minor price discrepancies between Treasury futures and securities. This trade blew up in mid-March 2020 as coronavirus threatened to derail the global economy, leading to a "dash for cash" that saw investors sell almost every asset for dollar liquidity. On March 12, 2020, BTC fell by nearly 40%.

"When market volatility spikes - as it is now - it unearths highly leveraged carry trades vulnerable to big market moves. The blowup in the US Treasury market in March 2020, which disrupted basis carry trades, is a recent example. Risk of leveraged carry trade blowups is high...," Robin Brooks, managing director and chief economist at the International Institute of Finance, said.

The risk is real because, the size of the basis trade as of March end was $1 trillion, double the tally in March 2020. The positioning is such that a one basis point move in Treasury yields (which move opposite to prices) would lead to a $600 million shift in the value of their bets, according to ZeroHedge.

So, increased volatility in the Treasury yields could cause a COVID-like blowup, leading to a widespread selling of all assets, including bitcoin, to obtain cash.

On Friday, the MOVE index, which represents the options-based implied or expected 30-day volatility in the U.S. Treasury market, jumped 12% to 125.70, the highest since Nov. 4, according to data source TradingView.

The gravity of the situation is underscored by a recent Brookings Institution paper, which advises the Federal Reserve to consider targeted interventions in the U.S. Treasury market, specifically supporting hedge funds engaged in basis trading during times of severe market stress.

Let's see how things unfold in the week ahead.



source https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/04/06/bitcoin-s-strength-amid-nasdaq-drop-is-impressive-but-the-risk-of-a-basis-trade-blowup-that-spurred-the-covid-crash-looms

Saturday, April 5, 2025

SEC Staff to Reassess Biden-Era Crypto Guidance Amid Regulatory Shakeup

Staff at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) are reviewing past crypto-related guidance to determine whether it still reflects the agency’s current priorities, according to a statement from acting chairman Mark Uyeda, posted on social media platform X.

Among several key documents, the SEC staff's statement on funds registered under the Investment Company Act Investing in the bitcoin futures market is under review, according to the X post. Other documents include digital assets "investment contracts," and custody frameworks. The reviews could result in more clarification for regulatory frameworks around the digital assets sector.

The request from Uyeda is related to Executive Order 14192, Unleashing Prosperity Through Deregulation and comes after a recommendation from Elon Musk's D.O.G.E.

It is worth noting that the statement is coming from SEC staff and not from Commissioner Hester Peirce, making it less binding. However, it still shows the SEC's willingness to ease pressure on the digital assets sector since the agency was taken over by President Donald Trump-appointed leadership.

The move is part of interim Chairman Mark Uyeda's efforts to overhaul the regulator's crypto position. That includes throwing out most of the prominent enforcement cases the agency had pursued against digital asset businesses.

Read more: U.S. SEC Staff Clarifies That Some Crypto Stablecoins Aren't Securities



source https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2025/04/05/sec-staff-to-reassess-biden-era-crypto-guidance-amid-regulatory-shakeup

PayPal Pushes Further Into Crypto by Adding Chainlink and Solana as New Offerings

PayPal has added chainlink (LINK) and solana (SOL) to its growing list of supported cryptocurrencies, giving users of both PayPal and Venmo the ability to buy, hold, sell and transfer the tokens directly from their accounts.

The move reflects the payments giant’s continued push into the cryptocurrency space after first launching crypto support in 2020. The new tokens will roll out to U.S. users over the next few weeks.

“Offering more tokens on PayPal and Venmo provides users with greater flexibility, choice, and access to digital currencies,” said May Zabaneh, PayPal’s Vice President of Blockchain, Crypto, and Digital Currencies, in a press release.

The company, which has also launched its own U.S. dollar-backed stablecoin, has last year moved to allow its business clients access crypto directly form their accounts in the U.S.



source https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/04/05/paypal-pushes-further-into-crypto-by-adding-chainlink-and-solana-as-new-offerings

Crypto Outperforms Nasdaq as BTC Becomes 'U.S. Isolation Hedge' Amid $5T Equities Carnage

President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariff unveiling had led to a $5.4 trillion U.S. equities market wipeout in just two days as the S&P 500 index dropped to its lowest level in 11 months and the Nasdaq 100 entered bear market territory.

Yet, amidst the chaos, cryptocurrency prices are showing resiliency, with bitcoin (BTC) dropping roughly 6% since the tariffs were unveiled, compared to the Nasdaq’s 11% drop. The broader crypto market, as measured by the CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index, dropped by roughly 4.9% over the same period.

To put the sell-off figures into perspective, the total crypto market cap is around $2.65 trillion, according to data from TheTie. In the last 24-hour period, bitcoin dropped 0.3% to $82,619.77, while the broader CD20 went up by roughly 0.2%. At the market close on Friday, most crypto-related stocks fell as well, but some actually moved up.

Bitcoin miner MARA Holdings (MARA) rose 0.6%, while Core Scientific (CORZ) saw a 0.4% upward move. Strategy (MSTR), the largest corporate holder of bitcoin with 528,185 BTC on its balance sheet, rose 4%. It significantly outperformed the Nasdaq on Friday, which plunged 5.8%.

Cryptocurrency prices are likely to remain resilient. Given their accessibility through traditional investment products, including exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and their performance, they could be “useful as a TradFi hedge,” according to Standard Chartered’s Geoffrey Kendrick.

“Over the last 36 hours I think we can also add 'US isolation' hedge to the list of bitcoin uses,” Kendrick wrote in an email dated April 4, adding in a chart showing that among the Magnificent 7 stocks, only Microsoft outperformed BTC during the sell-off.

The resilience is also coming as the crypto community celebrated the purported birthday of bitcoin creator Satoshi Nakamoto. The date is based on the bitcoin creator’s profile with the P2P Foundation.

The date, some speculate, isn’t real but instead symbolic. It coincides with the anniversary of Executive Order 6102, signed by President Franklin D. Roosevelt on April 5, 1933. The order required Americans to turn in their gold to the Federal Reserve.

Read more: Bitcoin Begins to Decouple From Nasdaq as U.S. Stocks Crumble



source https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/04/05/crypto-outperforms-nasdaq-as-btc-becomes-u-s-isolation-hedge-amid-usd5t-equities-carnage

Why OFAC Delisted Tornado Cash

Last month, the U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Asset Control delisted Tornado Cash from its sanctions list, months after an appeals court ruled that the watchdog could not designate the mixer's smart contracts.

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Fair winds

The narrative

In November 2024, a Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals panel ruled that the Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) couldn't sanction smart contracts tied to crypto mixer Tornado Cash. Last month, OFAC delisted Tornado Cash entirely, though it left developer Roman Semenov on its Specially Designated Nationals list.

Why it matters

Whether Tornado Cash could be sanctioned to begin with has been a point of contention for the crypto industry. The Fifth Circuit ruling sparked a rally in the TORN token's price and raised hopes that it would be more difficult for the U.S. government to block legal uses of mixers.

Breaking it down

Tornado Cash's delisting included smart contract addresses and other components of the overall mixer, and followed November's ruling. The delisting may have been an effort to preempt a court ruling that would force OFAC to permanently delist Tornado Cash.

Backing up a little: A group of developers sued OFAC after Tornado Cash was first sanctioned with backing from crypto exchange Coinbase. That case, Van Loon v. Treasury, received an initial ruling from a district court judge that was favorable to the Treasury Department. On appeal, however, the Fifth Circuit ruled — somewhat narrowly — that smart contracts were outside the scope of OFAC's jurisdiction. The appeals court panel threw the case back down to the district court to sort out next steps.

On March 21, the same day it removed Tornado Cash from its sanctions list, OFAC filed a notice telling the court that the removal meant the legal case remedies cot "the matter is now moot."

Peter Van Valkenburgh, the executive director at Coin Center, said the November decision left OFAC with few options.

"They could have waited for the court to invalidate the sanctions or they could have delisted them themselves, and they delisted themselves," he said. "You can read that two ways. You can read that as 'I want to try and preserve some ability to fight in the future or [make] some other listing,' [and] that's really tough because that Fifth Circuit opinion is really bad for them."

The other read for the delisting is OFAC just wanted the matter resolved quickly, he said.

Leah Moushey, an attorney with Miller & Chevalier, said the court may choose to reject OFAC's filing because there's an open question as to whether Tornado Cash can be redesignated in the future. She pointed to a Supreme Court case with thematic similarities.

The court said in that case, FBI v. Fikre, that the U.S. government had not sufficiently proven that just removing an individual from a no-fly list meant he would never be placed back on the list.

OFAC may have to show in this case that Tornado Cash can't be designated again.

Another open question for Tornado Cash is whether the delisting has any bearing on the U.S. Department of Justice's criminal case against developer Roman Storm. After the Fifth Circuit ruling, Storm's attorneys filed a motion asking the judge overseeing the criminal case to dismiss the indictment, but the judge has already ruled that the case should move forward.

"The judge determined that the scope of the conduct went beyond the interactions with the smart contract," Moushey said. The Fifth Circuit ruling did not discuss Tornado Cash as an entity.

Van Valkenburgh noted that OFAC left its sanctions against Semenov in place, and the DOJ will continue to try and argue Storm conspired to violate sanctions.

The Storm case is currently set for trial in July.

Stories you may have missed

Illinois to Drop Staking Lawsuit Against Coinbase: Illinois has become the latest state to announce it would drop its lawsuit against Coinbase, joining Kentucky, Vermont and South Carolina. New Jersey and Washington regulators say their investigations remain open.

Tron's Justin Sun Bailed Out TUSD as Stablecoin's $456M Reserves Were Stuck in Limbo, Filings Show: Justin Sun loaned Techteryx nearly $500 million after the company lost access to its reserves' liquidity through what Sun and Techteryx allege are mismanagement by First Digital Trust, the Hong Kong-based fiduciary managing the TrueUSD reserves, legal documents claim.

First Digital to 'Pursue Legal Action' Over Justin Sun Allegations as FDUSD Drops: First Digital threatened a lawsuit against Justin Sun, saying his allegations that it was "effectively insolvent" was a "smear campaign."

U.S. SEC Staff Clarifies That Some Crypto Stablecoins Aren't Securities: The SEC's latest staff statement addresses stablecoins, with the usual caveats about it being a staff statement and not commissioner guidance.

Stablecoin Giant Circle Files for IPO After $1.7B Stablecoin Reserve Windfall: Stablecoin issuer Circle filed to go public.

Circle’s IPO Filing Tests Crypto Market Confidence After Trump’s Tariff Shock: A number of companies looked set to go public before the entire stock market tanked this week. Circle was on that list.

This week

Wednesday

14:00 UTC (10:00 a.m. ET) The House Financial Services Committee held a markup on the STABLE Act, Financial Technology Protection Act and the CBDC Anti-Surveillance State Act, ultimately passing all three bills — after a daylong session addressing some 40 different proposed amendments.

Thursday

14:00 UTC (10:00 a.m. ET) The Senate Banking Committee voted to advance the nominations of Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Paul Atkins and Comptroller Jonathan Gould.

Elsewhere:

(404 Media) T-Mobile offers a GPS tracker for parents to keep tabs on their children. Last week, 404 Media reports, some parents found they were unable to track their own kids but did receive the location data for other kids.

(The New York Times) The Times reported on a Ponzi scheme that used crypto promises to sucker a large number of people in an Argentinian town. These kinds of scams are very common.

(The Atlantic) The Trump administration said in a court filing it had sent an individual with protected legal status to an El Salvador prison camp without holding a hearing through an "administrative error." A federal judge ordered the administration to bring him back to the U.S. on Friday. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt responded with a statement saying "we are unaware of the judge having jurisdiction or authority over the country of El Salvador."

(The Wall Street Journal) New Jersey Democrat Cory Booker broke the U.S. Senate record for longest floor speech after giving a marathon 25-hour address in protest of President Donald Trump's policies.

(The New York Times) Donald Trump unveiled a whole set of tariffs on countries around the world, saying they were reciprocal against tariffs imposed by the U.S.'s trading partners. "The markets are going to boom," Trump said in remarks.

(Yahoo! Finance) The markets "cratered on Friday," following an equally rough Thursday.

(Wired) Among the countries and places tariffed by the U.S. is the Heard and McDonald Islands, which is uninhabited by humans and does not export goods.

(ABC News) The White House said its tariff rate against individual countries was half of those countries' tariff rates against the U.S. Economists say the actual calculations were done by dividing a country's trade deficit by its import value, then divided in half, ABC News reported.

(Reuters) The other effect of the renewed tariffs appears to be rising recession odds, according to a J.P. Morgan note shared by Reuters.

If you’ve got thoughts or questions on what I should discuss next week or any other feedback you’d like to share, feel free to email me at nik@coindesk.com or find me on Bluesky @nikhileshde.bsky.social.

You can also join the group conversation on Telegram.

See ya’ll next week!



source https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2025/04/05/why-ofac-delisted-tornado-cash

Luxor’s Aaron Foster on Bitcoin Mining’s Growing Sophistication

Luxor Technology wants to make bitcoin mining easier. That’s why the firm has rolled out a panoply of products (mining pools, hashrate deriv...